Losing can be a difficult habit to break. If you don’t take the right steps to correct your previous mistakes, you are going to continue to see similar results.
The same principles holds true when it comes to betting baseball. You have to be willing to learn something from each loss and use it to your advantage going forward.
With MLB playoffs undertaking there is no better time to correct your baseball betting common mistakes.
The biggest problem that amateur bettors have is they want immediate results. While short-term success is great, your focus needs to be on long-term profit.
If you put the time into handicapping the games and avoid making the common mistakes that are listed below, you too can start beating the odds on a daily basis.
Too Many Favorites
Everyone who gets started with sports betting instinctively concentrates on favorites over underdogs. They take a look at a favorite at -160 and see that team as a sure thing to beat their opponents.
Their research is then centered around reinforcing the idea of why the favorite will win rather than researching the percentage chance each team has to come out on top.
If you want to break yourself of this habit take a look at the league standings. Notice how bad teams win 40% of their games and great teams don’t win 70% of the time.
The best thing about playing more underdogs is that you don’t have to win as much to profit long-term. If you play two underdogs, you only need to hit one of the two to profit, where if you played two favorites, you need both to cash to end up positive.
You Fade Streaks
The first reaction that a lot of people have when they see a bad team that has won a few games in a row, is to immediately fade that team the next time they play. If you are someone who uses this kind of thought process, I encourage you to break this habit immediately.
Baseball is a game of streaks both from an individual and a team perspective. Even the worst teams in the league are going to go on runs where they string together winning stretches over multiple weeks.
Instead of playing the due factor and banking on a streak to come to an end, I recommend jumping on the bandwagon when things are going well and ride the momentum to some nice profits. Just make sure you are disciplined and jump ship when things start to go in the other direction.
You Overvalue the Starter
Most of the time the lines are based off of the starting pitcher. However, in the modern era of baseball the starters only last a little over six innings on average, so you’ll need to factor in the bullpen.
Don’t put all of your eggs in a basket that only takes care of a little more than half of the game.
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