Baseball Betting – Run Lines

When Betting on Baseball, moneyline and totals remain the wagering options of choice for many sports bettors, however betting on Run Lines continues to grow in popularity, particularly late in the season when a wealth of individual player and team stats and betting trends are available for analysis.

Not familiar with the term, let’s put it in simple words. Run Lines is what you get when you combine a baseball point spread with a baseball moneyline. It’s a unique form of baseball betting that can be profitable for sports bettors who have done their homework on stats, trends, and pitching performances.

A Run Line bet is a 1.5-point spread attached to a baseball game. While a team may be a heavy favorite on the moneyline, that team will own much reduced odds when pegged as a 1.5-run Run Line favorite.

How to Profit From Run Line Betting

Many bettors like this strategy because it allows them to get plus money on the favored team. For example if the Tampa Bay Rays are -145 favorites against the Boston Red Sox; a bettor could get a Tampa Bay run line at -1.5 (+150). That means if the Rays won by at least two runs, somebody with a $100 bet on the Tampa Bay Run Line would win $150. On the contrary, that same $100 bet on the Rays moneyline would have earned just $68.97.

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A lot of bettors overlook the difficulty of MLB Run Line Betting. They will get in the mindset that the team they think will win the game will probably do so by at least 2 runs, leading them to bet the run line over the money line because of the higher odds. Just about 30% of MLB games end up being one run games, which is a lot higher than most people would have expected, making it very tough to predict when a team will cover the 1.5 run spread on the run line.

Another thing that many casual bettors don’t take into consideration when betting the MLB Run Line is the disadvantage that the home team has. When the home team is favored they will need to win by two or more runs in order for a wager on them on the run line to win. Because the bottom of the ninth inning is not played out when the home team is winning, it leads to a lot of one run ball games finishing in the middle of the ninth inning. The home team gets one less at bat to score the extra runs that could have won you a run line wager.

One of the best strategies when betting the MLB Run Line is to try and stay away from laying the 1.5 runs on the favored team. Taking the 1.5 runs on an underdog team is a more profitable long term strategy, and many of the sharp MLB bettors will be taking the run more often than laying the run.

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