Making Money Betting on Baseball

In the previous article we talked about common mistakes when betting on baseball, here we expand on this subject with the purpose of helping you to enhance your baseball run line picks and your overall chances of making money betting on baseball.

Fail to Completely Analyze the Game

Too many bettors focus in on one thing or another. Following one simple trend or handicapping a single aspect of a game will not lead you to winning in the long run.

Winning isn’t simple so you are going to have to go deep into the stats and look at every different facet. Sure the starting pitcher might be hot, but how is his run support and bullpen help? Are there any key injuries? Does the opposition have hot bats?

Make sure you scrutinize all of the different angles instead of locking in on one of your favorites and forcing something to work.

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You Take Only High Scoring Teams

Most bettors become attracted to teams that score a lot of runs. These bettors think that lots of runs and star sluggers translates into wins.

Everyone loves home runs and RBIs, but fans don’t necessarily make smart bets. The general public will drive the line up on these teams and frequently leave value on the opposite side.

Teams that score a lot of runs frequently have a lot of expensive, talented names in the lineup. It’s even more important to find out who looks strong on paper but hasn’t been producing, or the teams that are scoring a lot of runs without any fanfare. Going against the grain is a great way to find value.

You Don’t Look at Home & Away Splits

There are teams out there that are great at home and terrible on the road, and vice versa. If you can find a two-faced team, then you’ll more than likely see some value in taking them when they are in their right spot, and going against them when playing out of their element.

You also need to do a little bit of work to investigate why the teams are performing how they are. Do they have strong pitching but are playing in a hitter’s park? Do they have flyball hitters in a short porch? If so, then you can also figure out what stadiums they will play well in on the road, then you can really find some strong winners.

You Worry Too Much About Reputation

For the most part, you need to take performances from previous years and throw them out the window. Just because an aging starting pitcher has won a few Cy Youngs earlier in his career does not mean that they are going to win on any given night.

You need to ignore reputations and focus more intently on the here and now. I want to know how the pitcher has done in getting batters out over his last month of starts, not what he did two years ago. If you have a big favorite that is struggling this year, then he’s perfect for fading. Lots of guys have arm troubles and don’t perform well in consecutive seasons others could be adjusting to a new town and a new team.

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